Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.181504e-05 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000077 0.000088 0.000101
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.154344e-05 0.000041 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079 0.000096 0.000116
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.484046e-05 0.000035 0.000047 0.000063 0.000081 0.000103 0.000129
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.065881e-05 0.000031 0.000045 0.000062 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.692271e-05 0.000028 0.000042 0.000061 0.000086 0.000116 0.000154
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.401926e-05 0.000025 0.000039 0.000060 0.000087 0.000121 0.000165
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.152731e-05 0.000022 0.000037 0.000059 0.000088 0.000125 0.000174
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.219810e-06 0.000019 0.000034 0.000056 0.000087 0.000127 0.000180
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.182245e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000053 0.000085 0.000127 0.000185
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.767818e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000052 0.000085 0.000130 0.000191
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.374029e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000054 0.000090 0.000139 0.000208
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.630416e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000054 0.000092 0.000145 0.000219
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.687177e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000054 0.000095 0.000153 0.000235
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.640248e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000052 0.000095 0.000156 0.000244
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.889359e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000050 0.000095 0.000160 0.000255
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.437951e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000050 0.000097 0.000167 0.000269
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.013213e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000049 0.000098 0.000171 0.000281
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.037582e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000048 0.000099 0.000176 0.000293
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.602226e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000047 0.000099 0.000179 0.000303
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.647191e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000045 0.000098 0.000181 0.000310
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.291041e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000042 0.000096 0.000180 0.000314
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.187055e-08 0.000003 0.000013 0.000041 0.000095 0.000183 0.000322
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.884654e-08 0.000002 0.000014 0.000043 0.000101 0.000194 0.000345